The Next 100 Years: A Forecast for the 21st Century by george friedman

The Next 100 Years: A Forecast for the 21st Century
  • Title : The Next 100 Years: A Forecast for the 21st Century
  • Author : george friedman
  • Publisher : almohreraladbi
  • ISBN Code : 2123514225
  • Pages :
  • Format : Pdf - ePub
  • Language : English
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Summary:

In his long-awaited and provocative new book, George Friedman turns his eye on the future—offering a lucid, highly readable forecast of the changes we can expect around the world during the twenty-first century. He explains where and why future wars will erupt (and how they will be fought), which nations will gain and lose economic and political power, and how new technologies and cultural trends will alter the way we live in the new century. The Next 100 Years draws on a fascinating exploration of history and geopolitical patterns dating back hundreds of years. Friedman shows that we are now, for the first time in half a millennium, at the dawn of a new era—with changes in store, including: • The U.S.-Jihadist war will conclude—replaced by a second full-blown cold war with Russia. • China will undergo a major extended internal crisis, and Mexico will emerge as an important world power. • A new global war will unfold toward the middle of the century between the United States and an unexpected coalition from Eastern Europe, Eurasia, and the Far East; but armies will be much smaller and wars will be less deadly. • Technology will focus on space—both for major military uses and for a dramatic new energy resource that will have radical environmental implications. • The United States will experience a Golden Age in the second half of the century. Written with the keen insight and thoughtful analysis that has made George Friedman a renowned expert in geopolitics and forecasting, The Next 100 Years presents a fascinating picture of what lies ahead.


Terra Incognita by Ian Goldin,Robert Muggah

Terra Incognita
  • Title : Terra Incognita
  • Author : Ian Goldin,Robert Muggah
  • Publisher : Random House
  • ISBN Code : 1473570123
  • Pages : 480
  • Format : Pdf - ePub
  • Language : English
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Summary:

'Amazing. It would be my desert island choice' Martin Rees 'Fascinating, beautiful, alarming and revelatory use of mapping and infographics' Stephen Fry on EarthTime maps 'An indispensable read' Arianna Huffington From the global impact of the Coronavirus to exploring the vast spread of the Australian bushfires, join authors Ian Goldin and Robert Muggah as they trace the ways in which our world has changed and the ways in which it will continue to change over the next hundred years. Map-making is an ancient impulse. From the moment homo sapiens learnt to communicate we have used them to make sense of our surroundings. But as Albert Einstein once said, 'you can't use old maps to explore a new world.' And now, when the world is changing faster than ever before, our old maps are no longer fit for purpose. Welcome to Terra Incognita. Based on decades of research, and combining mesmerising, state-of-the-art satellite maps with enlightening and passionately argued analysis, Ian and Robert chart humanity's impact on the planet, and the ways in which we can make a real impact to save it, and to thrive as a species. Learn about: fires in the arctic; the impact of sea level rise on cities around the world; the truth about immigration - and why fears in the West are a myth; the counter-intuitive future of population rise; the miracles of health and education that are waiting around the corner, and the reality about inequality, and how we end it. The book traces the paths of peoples, cities, wars, climates and technologies, all on a global scale. Full of facts that will confound you, inform you, and ultimately empower you, Terra Incognita guides readers to a new place of understanding, rather than to a physical location.


The Next 100 Years by Dennis Cramer

The Next 100 Years
  • Title : The Next 100 Years
  • Author : Dennis Cramer
  • Publisher : Arrow Publications
  • ISBN Code : 9781886296312
  • Pages : 133
  • Format : Pdf - ePub
  • Language : English
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Summary:

A startling 21st century detailed prophecy recorded in October 1997! Gain important prophetic "inside information" about 57 nations: read about upcoming revivals, wars, economic conditions, miracles, weather patterns, population shifts, natural disasters, investments, gavernments, world religions, plus much, much more!


The Next 100 Years by George Friedman

The Next 100 Years
  • Title : The Next 100 Years
  • Author : George Friedman
  • Publisher : Black Inc.
  • ISBN Code : 1921825545
  • Pages : 272
  • Format : Pdf - ePub
  • Language : English
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Summary:

“Predictions have made George Friedman a hot property these days.” –The Wall Street Journal In The Next 100 Years, George Friedman offers a lucid, highly readable forecast of the changes we can expect around the world during the twenty-first century. He explains where and why future wars will erupt (and how they will be fought), which nations will gain and lose economic and political power, and how new technologies and cultural trends will alter the way we live in the new century. Drawing on history and geopolitical patterns dating back hundreds of years. Friedman shows that we are now, for the first time in half a millennium, at the dawn of a new era – with changes in store, including: • The US–Jihadist war will conclude – replaced by a second full-blown cold war with Russia. • China will undergo a major extended internal crisis, and Mexico will emerge as an important world power. • A new global war will unfold toward the middle of the century between the United States and an unexpected coalition from Eastern Europe, Eurasia and the Far East; but armies will be much smaller and wars will be less deadly. • Technology will focus on space – both for major military uses and for a dramatic new energy resource that will have radical environmental implications. Written with the keen insight and thoughtful analysis that has made George Friedman a renowned expert in geopolitics and forecasting, The Next 100 Years presents a fascinating picture of what lies ahead.


The Next Decade by George Friedman

The Next Decade
  • Title : The Next Decade
  • Author : George Friedman
  • Publisher : Scribe Publications
  • ISBN Code : 9781921753978
  • Pages : 272
  • Format : Pdf - ePub
  • Language : English
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Summary:

The author of the acclaimed New York Times bestseller The Next 100 Years now focuses his geopolitical forecasting acumen on the next decade and the imminent events and challenges that will test America and the world, specifically addressing the skills that will be required by the decade’s leaders. The next ten years will be a time of massive transition. The wars in the Islamic world will be subsiding, and terrorism will become something we learn to live with. China will be encountering its crisis. We will be moving from a time when financial crises dominate the world to a time when labour shortages will begin to do so. In The Next Decade, George Friedman offers a provocative and endlessly fascinating prognosis for the immediate future. Using Machiavelli’s The Prince as a model, Friedman focuses on the world’s leaders — particularly the American president — and, with his trusted geopolitical insight, analyses the complex chess game they will all have to play. The book also asks how to be a good president in a decade of extraordinary challenge, and puts the world’s leaders under a microscope to explain how they will arrive at the decisions they will make


In 100 Years by Ignacio Palacios-Huerta

In 100 Years
  • Title : In 100 Years
  • Author : Ignacio Palacios-Huerta
  • Publisher : MIT Press
  • ISBN Code : 0262026910
  • Pages : 195
  • Format : Pdf - ePub
  • Language : English
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Summary:

This pithy and engaging volume shows that economists may be better equipped to predict the future than science fiction writers. Economists' ideas, based on both theory and practice, reflect their knowledge of the laws of human interactions as well as years of experimentation and reflection. Although perhaps not as screenplay-ready as a work of fiction, these economists' predictions are ready for their close-ups. In this book, ten prominent economists -- including Nobel laureates and several likely laureates -- offer their ideas about the world of the twenty-second century. In scenarios that range from the optimistic to the guardedly gloomy, these thinkers consider such topics as the transformation of work and wages, the continuing increase in inequality, the economic rise of China and India, the endlessly repeating cycle of crisis and (projected) recovery, the benefits of technology, the economic consequences of political extremism, and the long-range effects of climate change. For example, Daron Acemoglu offers a thoughtful discussion of how trends of the last century -- including uneven growth, technological integration, and resource scarcity -- might translate into the next; 2013 Nobelist Robert Shiller provides an innovative view of future risk management methods using information technology; 2012 Nobelist Alvin Roth projects his theory of Matching Markets into the next century, focusing on schools, jobs, marriage and family, and medicine; 1987 Nobelist Robert Solow considers the shift away from remunerated labor, among other subjects; and Martin Weitzman raises the intriguing but alarming possibility of using geoengineering techniques to mitigate the nevitable effects of climate change. In a 1930 essay mentioned by several contributors, "Economic Possibilities for Our Grandchildren," John Maynard Keynes offered predictions that, read today, range from absolutely correct to spectacularly wrong. This book follows in Keynes's path, hoping, perhaps, to better his average.


Fundamentals of Sustainable Business by N.A

Fundamentals of Sustainable Business
  • Title : Fundamentals of Sustainable Business
  • Author : N.A
  • Publisher :
  • ISBN Code : 9814468568
  • Pages : N.A
  • Format : Pdf - ePub
  • Language : English
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Summary:


Creating Home Economics Futures by Kaija Turkki

Creating Home Economics Futures
  • Title : Creating Home Economics Futures
  • Author : Kaija Turkki
  • Publisher :
  • ISBN Code : 9781921513961
  • Pages : 241
  • Format : Pdf - ePub
  • Language : English
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Summary:

As the profession commences its second century of influence, this collection from 34 international Congress contributors reflects the global nature of the profession and provides a platform for outlining what the future of Home Economics might look like. D Pendergast, Griffith Uni.


The Great Game in the Buddhist Himalayas by Phunchok Stobdan

The Great Game in the Buddhist Himalayas
  • Title : The Great Game in the Buddhist Himalayas
  • Author : Phunchok Stobdan
  • Publisher : Penguin Random House India Private Limited
  • ISBN Code : 9353056756
  • Pages : 328
  • Format : Pdf - ePub
  • Language : English
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Summary:

There is a new 'great game' being played in the Buddhist Himalayas between India, China and Tibet, which makes for a crucial third player. Together, they are leveraging their influence with the Buddhist communities to create strategic dominance, with varying degrees of success. China's 'Buddhist diplomacy' has focused on Nepal and Bhutan, and the Indian Himalayan regions of Ladakh, Arunachal Pradesh and Sikkim, which have sizeable Buddhist populations and are vulnerable to this influence. The crisis in Doklam brought into focus what will be one of the most difficult issues to unfold in the Himalayas in future: India's insufficient ability to deal with China only through the prism of military power. If Xi Jinping, who is known to be working towards a resolution of the Tibet question, succeeds, and the Dalai Lama does indeed return to Tibet, how will it impact Indian interests in the Buddhist Himalayas? If the Tibet issue remains unresolved, how will India and China deal with and leverage the sectarian strife that is likely to intensify in a post-Dalai Lama world? The Great Game in the Buddhist Himalayas includes several unknown insights into the India-China, India-Tibet and China-Tibet relationships. It reads like a geopolitical thriller, taking the reader through the intricacies of reincarnation politics, competing spheres of sacred influence, and monastic and sectarian allegiances that will keep the Himalayas on edge for years to come.


Shaping the Next One Hundred Years by Robert J. Lempert

Shaping the Next One Hundred Years
  • Title : Shaping the Next One Hundred Years
  • Author : Robert J. Lempert
  • Publisher : Rand Corporation
  • ISBN Code : 0833034855
  • Pages : 208
  • Format : Pdf - ePub
  • Language : English
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Summary:

A sophisticated reader ought to view with great skepticism the prospect of answering questions about the long-term future. The checkered history of predicting the future-from the famous declarations that humans would never fly to the Limits to Growth study to claims about the "New Economy"-has dissuaded policymakers from considering the effects of their decisions more than a few months or years ahead. However, today's choices will significantly influence the course of the twenty-first century. New analytic methods, enabled by modern computers, may transform our ability to reason systematically about the long term. This report reviews traditional methods of grappling with the morrow, from narratives to scenario analysis, which fail to address the multiplicity of plausible long-term futures. The authors demonstrate a quantitative approach to long-term policy analysis (LTPA). Robust decision methods enable decisionmakers to examine a vast range of plausible futures and design near-term, often adaptive, strategies to be robust across them. Reframing the question "What will the long-term future bring?" as "How can we choose actions today that will be consistent with our long-term interests?" these methods provide powerful analytic support to humans' innate capacity for "what-if-ing." Choosing the challenge of sustainable development as an example, the authors discuss how these methods may be applied to real-world LTPA and a wide range of other challenges of decisionmaking under conditions of deep uncertainty.


From War to Peace by Kent D. Shifferd

From War to Peace
  • Title : From War to Peace
  • Author : Kent D. Shifferd
  • Publisher : McFarland
  • ISBN Code : 078648523X
  • Pages : 240
  • Format : Pdf - ePub
  • Language : English
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Summary:

The world’s first peace organizations emerged in the 19th century and since that time, anti-war activism has progressed rapidly. This illuminating book presents a realistic analysis of the extent to which the war system has infiltrated all aspects of Western culture and how it works to perpetuate war rather than promote peace. Additionally, the text describes the historically recent and still evolving parallel system of peace institutions. The values and ideas that have grown out of peace activism offer a very real opportunity to outlaw war in the coming century just as slavery was abolished in the 19th century. Instructors considering this book for use in a course may request an examination copy here.


The Long Thaw by David Archer

The Long Thaw
  • Title : The Long Thaw
  • Author : David Archer
  • Publisher : Princeton University Press
  • ISBN Code : 0691169063
  • Pages : 200
  • Format : Pdf - ePub
  • Language : English
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Summary:

The human impact on Earth's climate is often treated as a hundred-year issue lasting as far into the future as 2100, the year in which most climate projections cease. In The Long Thaw, David Archer, one of the world’s leading climatologists, reveals the hard truth that these changes in climate will be "locked in," essentially forever. If you think that global warming means slightly hotter weather and a modest rise in sea levels that will persist only so long as fossil fuels hold out (or until we decide to stop burning them), think again. In The Long Thaw, David Archer predicts that if we continue to emit carbon dioxide we may eventually cancel the next ice age and raise the oceans by 50 meters. A human-driven, planet-wide thaw has already begun, and will continue to impact Earth’s climate and sea level for hundreds of thousands of years. The great ice sheets in Antarctica and Greenland may take more than a century to melt, and the overall change in sea level will be one hundred times what is forecast for 2100. By comparing the global warming projection for the next century to natural climate changes of the distant past, and then looking into the future far beyond the usual scientific and political horizon of the year 2100, Archer reveals the hard truths of the long-term climate forecast. Archer shows how just a few centuries of fossil-fuel use will cause not only a climate storm that will last a few hundred years, but dramatic climate changes that will last thousands. Carbon dioxide emitted today will be a problem for millennia. For the first time, humans have become major players in shaping the long-term climate. In fact, a planetwide thaw driven by humans has already begun. But despite the seriousness of the situation, Archer argues that it is still not too late to avert dangerous climate change--if humans can find a way to cooperate as never before. Revealing why carbon dioxide may be an even worse gamble in the long run than in the short, this compelling and critically important book brings the best long-term climate science to a general audience for the first time. With a new preface that discusses recent advances in climate science, and the impact on global warming and climate change, The Long Thaw shows that it is still not too late to avert dangerous climate change—if we can find a way to cooperate as never before.


The Future of Almost Everything by Patrick Dixon

The Future of Almost Everything
  • Title : The Future of Almost Everything
  • Author : Patrick Dixon
  • Publisher : Profile Books
  • ISBN Code : 1782831819
  • Pages : 344
  • Format : Pdf - ePub
  • Language : English
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Summary:

From the man the Wall Street Journal describes as a 'global change guru', more than one hundred of the trends that touch every aspect of our lives. This new and updated edition looks even farther into the future, predicting trends past the first decades of the 22nd century. Patrick Dixon looks at how the future will be Fast, Urban, Tribal, Universal, Radical and Ethical - a future of boom and bust and great economic change as the emerging markets grow up; a future of great advances in medicine and also greater threats from viral epidemics; a future of political shocks and greater conflicts; a future in which people will strive for more privacy and businesses will change the way they relate to their staff and their customers; a future in which there will be driverless cars and solar power generated in the desert will power cities thousands of miles away. In this updated edition, Dixon shows how recent developments confirm his predictive scheme: Artificial intelligence and robotics - profound power and influence over our future world Beyond Brexit - the longer term future of the EU and UK The long-term impact of the MeToo movement The future of Truth - Fake News, propaganda and impact on democracy Presidential leadership - rise of powerful figureheads across the world, and potential future conflicts And in an entirely new chapter, Dixon extends his predictive horizon to see how the future will look one hundred years from now.


The Storm Before the Calm by George Friedman

The Storm Before the Calm
  • Title : The Storm Before the Calm
  • Author : George Friedman
  • Publisher : Anchor
  • ISBN Code : 9781101911785
  • Pages : 256
  • Format : Pdf - ePub
  • Language : English
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Summary:

The master geopolitical forecaster and New York Times bestselling author of The Next 100 Years focuses on the United States, predicting how the 2020s will bring dramatic upheaval and reshaping of American government, foreign policy, economics, and culture. In his riveting new book, noted forecaster and bestselling author George Friedman turns to the future of the United States. Examining the clear cycles through which the United States has developed, upheaved, matured, and solidified, Friedman breaks down the coming years and decades in thrilling detail. American history must be viewed in cycles--particularly, an eighty-year "institutional cycle" that has defined us (there are three such examples--the Revolutionary War/founding, the Civil War, and World War II), and a fifty-year "socio-economic cycle" that has seen the formation of the industrial classes, baby boomers, and the middle classes. These two major cycles are both converging on the late 2020s--a time in which many of these foundations will change. The United States will have to endure upheaval and possible conflict, but also, ultimately, increased strength, stability, and power in the world. Friedman's analysis is detailed and fascinating, and covers issues such as the size and scope of the federal government, the future of marriage and the social contract, shifts in corporate structures, and new cultural trends that will react to longer life expectancies. This new book is both provocative and entertaining.


Shaping the Next One Hundred Years by Robert J. Lempert

Shaping the Next One Hundred Years
  • Title : Shaping the Next One Hundred Years
  • Author : Robert J. Lempert
  • Publisher : Rand Corporation
  • ISBN Code : 0833034855
  • Pages : 208
  • Format : Pdf - ePub
  • Language : English
  • GET EBOOK

Summary:

A sophisticated reader ought to view with great skepticism the prospect of answering questions about the long-term future. The checkered history of predicting the future-from the famous declarations that humans would never fly to the Limits to Growth study to claims about the "New Economy"-has dissuaded policymakers from considering the effects of their decisions more than a few months or years ahead. However, today's choices will significantly influence the course of the twenty-first century. New analytic methods, enabled by modern computers, may transform our ability to reason systematically about the long term. This report reviews traditional methods of grappling with the morrow, from narratives to scenario analysis, which fail to address the multiplicity of plausible long-term futures. The authors demonstrate a quantitative approach to long-term policy analysis (LTPA). Robust decision methods enable decisionmakers to examine a vast range of plausible futures and design near-term, often adaptive, strategies to be robust across them. Reframing the question "What will the long-term future bring?" as "How can we choose actions today that will be consistent with our long-term interests?" these methods provide powerful analytic support to humans' innate capacity for "what-if-ing." Choosing the challenge of sustainable development as an example, the authors discuss how these methods may be applied to real-world LTPA and a wide range of other challenges of decisionmaking under conditions of deep uncertainty.


America's Secret War by George Friedman

America's Secret War
  • Title : America's Secret War
  • Author : George Friedman
  • Publisher : Anchor Books
  • ISBN Code : 0767917855
  • Pages : 362
  • Format : Pdf - ePub
  • Language : English
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Summary:

A founder of a leading private intelligence company offers a geopolitical, inside analysis of the truth about America's true foreign policy in Afghanistan, Iraq, and other locations around the world, examining covert and overt efforts in the global war against terrorism, the unreported factors that led to the invasion of Iraq, and other important events. Reprint. 20,000 first printing.


Anchor Man by Steve Farrar

Anchor Man
  • Title : Anchor Man
  • Author : Steve Farrar
  • Publisher : Thomas Nelson
  • ISBN Code : 1418568643
  • Pages : 304
  • Format : Pdf - ePub
  • Language : English
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Summary:

If you thought your parenting responsibilities ended after eighteen years per child, you thought wrong. Instead, it's your privilege to lead your family-and influence succeeding generations-for a century...or more. Anchor Man presents the high calling of fatherhood, the traits of a Christian father, the adventures that await him as he interacts with his children, and the significance of his role as a good family man. Steve Farrar presents these roles and responsibilities in a way any man wanting to increase his understanding of his place in the family, and our society, can put into action every day. Anchor Man encourages, exhorts, and demonstrates with biblical concepts how to raise a godly family and how to anchor that family in Christ for the next one hundred years. Farrar's unique teaching style blends humor and practicality with the tools fathers need to become all that God intended them to be as the leaders of their families. "When a man gets serious about following Christ with his whole heart," Farrar says, "God desires to not only pour out His blessing on that man, but on his children, and his children's children.


2052 by Jorgen Randers

2052
  • Title : 2052
  • Author : Jorgen Randers
  • Publisher : Chelsea Green Publishing
  • ISBN Code : 1603584226
  • Pages : 416
  • Format : Pdf - ePub
  • Language : English
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Summary:

Forty years ago, The Limits to Growth study addressed the grand question of how humans would adapt to the physical limitations of planet Earth. It predicted that during the first half of the 21st century the ongoing growth in the human ecological footprint would stop-either through catastrophic "overshoot and collapse"-or through well-managed "peak and decline." So, where are we now? And what does our future look like? In the book 2052, Jorgen Randers, one of the coauthors of Limits to Growth, issues a progress report and makes a forecast for the next forty years. To do this, he asked dozens of experts to weigh in with their best predictions on how our economies, energy supplies, natural resources, climate, food, fisheries, militaries, political divisions, cities, psyches, and more will take shape in the coming decades. He then synthesized those scenarios into a global forecast of life as we will most likely know it in the years ahead. The good news: we will see impressive advances in resource efficiency, and an increasing focus on human well-being rather than on per capita income growth. But this change might not come as we expect. Future growth in population and GDP, for instance, will be constrained in surprising ways-by rapid fertility decline as result of increased urbanization, productivity decline as a result of social unrest, and continuing poverty among the poorest 2 billion world citizens. Runaway global warming, too, is likely. So, how do we prepare for the years ahead? With heart, fact, and wisdom, Randers guides us along a realistic path into the future and discusses what readers can do to ensure a better life for themselves and their children during the increasing turmoil of the next forty years.


The Eye, the Hand, the Mind by Susan L. Ball

The Eye, the Hand, the Mind
  • Title : The Eye, the Hand, the Mind
  • Author : Susan L. Ball
  • Publisher : Rutgers University Press
  • ISBN Code : 0813547873
  • Pages : 330
  • Format : Pdf - ePub
  • Language : English
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Summary:

The Eye, the Hand, the Mind, celebrating the centennial of the College Art Association, is filled with pictorial mementos and enlivening stories and anecdotes that connects the organization's sixteen goals and tells its rich, sometimes controversial, story. Readers will discover its role in major issues in higher education, preservation of world monuments, workforce issues and market equity, intellectual property and free speech, capturing conflicts and reconciliations inherent among artists and art historians, pedagogical approaches and critical interpretations/interventions as played out in association publications, annual conferences, advocacy efforts, and governance.


100 Years of Planck's Quantum by Ian Duck,E C G Sudarshan

100 Years of Planck's Quantum
  • Title : 100 Years of Planck's Quantum
  • Author : Ian Duck,E C G Sudarshan
  • Publisher : World Scientific
  • ISBN Code : 9814493031
  • Pages : 560
  • Format : Pdf - ePub
  • Language : English
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Summary:

This invaluable book takes the reader from Planck's discovery of the quantum in 1900 to the most recent interpretations and applications of nonrelativistic quantum mechanics. The introduction of the quantum idea leads off the prehistory of quantum mechanics, featuring Planck, Einstein, Bohr, Compton, and de Broglie's immortal contributions. Their original discovery papers are featured with explanatory notes and developments in Part 1. The invention of matrix mechanics and quantum mechanics by Heisenberg, Born, Jordan, Dirac, and Schrödinger is presented next, in Part 2. Following that, in Part 3, are the Einstein–Bohr debates on the interpretation of quantum mechanics culminating in Bell's inequality and Aspect's experiment demonstrating the actuality of the long range quantum correlations to which Einstein, Podolsky, and Rosen took great exception. Resolutions of quantum paradoxes and the current state of such debates are summarized. Part 4 presents a selection of the most dramatic modern developments, both theoretical and experimental. These include Feynman path integrals, the modern interpretation based on decoherence, quantum optics experiments leading to teleportation, DeWitt's wave function of the universe, and a brief introduction to the end-of-the-millennium prospects of quantum computation. A concluding chapter presents the authors' conjectures for the next 100 years of the quantum. This book is ideally suited to anyone with a junior level background in modern physics and quantum mechanics, and a cultural interest in the original sources of the greatest ideas of the greatest founders of this subject as derived from their first discovery papers. These papers have led, in giant strides across the whole of the twentieth century, to the revolutionary experimental advances of the last decade. The book makes accessible — physically and intellectually — both the deepest roots and the highest branches of nonrelativistic quantum physics. Contents:Part One:Planck Invents the QuantumEinstein and ComptonBohr's Hydrogen Atomde Broglie WavesKramers and HeisenbergPart Two:Heisenberg Invents Quantum DynamicsBorn, Heisenberg and JordanDirac's Quantum MechanicsSchrödinger's Wave MechanicsPart Three:Born's InterpretationHeisenberg's Uncertainty PrincipleEinstein, Podolsky, and RosenPart Four:Bohm and Bell, Clauser and AspectFeynman Path IntegralHartle's InterpretationDeWitt's Wave Function of the UniverseDeutsch's Quantum ComputerThe Next 100 Years Readership: Students and researchers in quantum mechanics. Keywords:Reviews:“When you have finished the book, you will have read parts of some papers that you probably would not have otherwise read, and you will have been given a guided tour through confusing territory by some wise and knowing guides.”Physics Today


Impact by Ian Goldin,Robert Muggah

Impact
  • Title : Impact
  • Author : Ian Goldin,Robert Muggah
  • Publisher : Century
  • ISBN Code : 9781529124194
  • Pages : 480
  • Format : Pdf - ePub
  • Language : English
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Summary:

Map-making is an ancient impulse. From the moment homo sapiens learnt to communicate we have used them to make sense of our surroundings. But as Albert Einstein once said, `you can't use old maps to explore a new world.' And now, when the world is changing faster than ever before, our old maps are no longer fit for purpose. Welcome to Impact. Based on decades of research, and combining mesmerising, state-of-the-art satellite maps with enlightening and passionately argued analysis, authors Ian Goldin and Robert Muggah chart humanity's impact on the planet, and the ways in which we can make a real impact to save it, and to thrive as a species. The maps in the book, which were a viral sensation and have been viewed over 10 million times on the BBC website, trace the paths of peoples, cities, wars, climates and technologies, all on a global scale. Full of facts that will confound you, inform you, and ultimately empower you, Impact guides readers to a new place of understanding, rather than to a physical location. The book will be printed in two-colour with full colour plate sections.


The 100-Year Life by Lynda Gratton,Andrew Scott

The 100-Year Life
  • Title : The 100-Year Life
  • Author : Lynda Gratton,Andrew Scott
  • Publisher : Bloomsbury Publishing
  • ISBN Code : 152662284X
  • Pages : 432
  • Format : Pdf - ePub
  • Language : English
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Summary:

*A new edition of the international bestseller (a #1 bestseller in Japan), featuring a new preface* Does the thought of working for 60 or 70 years fill you with dread? Or can you see the potential for a more stimulating future as a result of having so much extra time? Many of us have been raised on the traditional notion of a three-stage approach to our working lives: education, followed by work and then retirement. But this well-established pathway is already beginning to collapse – life expectancy is rising, final-salary pensions are vanishing, and increasing numbers of people are juggling multiple careers. Whether you are 18, 45 or 60, you will need to do things very differently from previous generations and learn to structure your life in completely new ways. The 100-Year Life is here to help. Drawing on the unique pairing of their experience in psychology and economics, Lynda Gratton and Andrew Scott offer a broad-ranging analysis as well as a raft of solutions, showing how to rethink your finances, your education, your career and your relationships and create a fulfilling 100-year life. · How can you fashion a career and life path that defines you and your values and creates a shifting balance between work and leisure? · What are the most effective ways of boosting your physical and mental health over a longer and more dynamic lifespan? · How can you make the most of your intangible assets – such as family and friends – as you build a productive, longer life? · In a multiple-stage life how can you learn to make the transitions that will be so crucial and experiment with new ways of living, working and learning? Shortlisted for the FT/McKinsey Business Book of the Year Award and featuring a new preface, The 100-Year Life is a wake-up call that describes what to expect and considers the choices and options that you will face. It is also fundamentally a call to action for individuals, politicians, firms and governments and offers the clearest demonstration that a 100-year life can be a wonderful and inspiring one.


Physics of the Future by Michio Kaku

Physics of the Future
  • Title : Physics of the Future
  • Author : Michio Kaku
  • Publisher : Penguin UK
  • ISBN Code : 0141931396
  • Pages : 416
  • Format : Pdf - ePub
  • Language : English
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Summary:

The international bestselling author of Physics of the Impossible gives us a stunning and provocative vision of the future Based on interviews with over three hundred of the world's top scientists, who are already inventing the future in their labs, Kaku-in a lucid and engaging fashion-presents the revolutionary developments in medicine, computers, quantum physics, and space travel that will forever change our way of life and alter the course of civilization itself. His astonishing revelations include: The Internet will be in your contact lens. It will recognize people's faces, display their biographies, and even translate their words into subtitles. You will control computers and appliances via tiny sensors that pick up your brain scans. You will be able to rearrange the shape of objects. Sensors in your clothing, bathroom, and appliances will monitor your vitals, and nanobots will scan your DNA and cells for signs of danger, allowing life expectancy to increase dramatically. Radically new spaceships, using laser propulsion, may replace the expensive chemical rockets of today. You may be able to take an elevator hundreds of miles into space by simply pushing the "up" button. Like Physics of the Impossible and Visions before it, Physics of the Future is an exhilarating, wondrous ride through the next one hundred years of breathtaking scientific revolution. Internationally acclaimed physicist Dr Michio Kaku holds the Henry Semat Chair in Theoretical Physics at the City University of New York. He is also an international bestselling author, his books including Hyperspace and Parallel Worlds, and a distinguished writer, having featured in Time, the Wall Street Journal, the Sunday Times and the New Scientist to name but a few. Dr Kaku also hosts his own radio show, 'Science Fantastic', and recently presented the BBC's popular series 'Time'.


Flashpoints by George Friedman

Flashpoints
  • Title : Flashpoints
  • Author : George Friedman
  • Publisher : Scribe Publications
  • ISBN Code : 1925113841
  • Pages : 288
  • Format : Pdf - ePub
  • Language : English
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Summary:

Europe is ready to explode. Where will the explosion take place and what will the damage be? This major new book from the bestselling author and geopolitical forecaster George Friedman presents a bold and provocative thesis about the likeliest locations for the coming eruptions. George Friedman forecasted coming global trends in The Next 100 Years and The Next Decade. Now, in Flashpoints, he zooms in on Europe and examines the dry tinder of the region: culture. Walking the faultlines that have existed here for centuries, Friedman inspects all the dormant social and political fissures still smouldering just beneath the continent’s surface, and identifies those likely to erupt first. The book begins with a fascinating history of the events leading up to the horrific wars that nearly tore apart Western civilisation, and shows how modern efforts to overcome Europe’s geopolitical tensions — including the formation of the European Union — have largely failed. Homing in on half a dozen pivotal locations, George Friedman gauges what the future holds, both in terms of conflict and also opportunity. Flashpoints details how events in Europe will affect the rest of the world — from USA to Russia, from China to Latin America — and reveals a new yet familiar political landscape in what is at once a gripping history lesson and a terrifying forecast of the potential devastation ahead. PRAISE FOR GEORGE FRIEDMAN ‘This nonacademic but erudite view of European history shows that the 20th century’s trauma of war and violence is not quite behind us … A thoughtful, uncluttered treatise considering Europe's intractable patterns of unemployment, immigration and racism.’ Kirkus ‘In this insightful examination of contemporary Europe, political scientist Friedman (Next Decade) challenges the view that the European Union and its neighbors have transcended the threat of violent conflict among nations … By dispassionately anatomizing the fears, aspirations, and interests of the key players, particularly a resurgent and resentful Russia, Friedman vividly describes a region where memories are long, perceived vulnerabilities are everywhere, and major threats have emerged rapidly and unexpectedly many times before.’ Publishers Weekly


The International Labour Organization by Daniel Maul

The International Labour Organization
  • Title : The International Labour Organization
  • Author : Daniel Maul
  • Publisher : Walter de Gruyter GmbH & Co KG
  • ISBN Code : 3110646668
  • Pages : 315
  • Format : Pdf - ePub
  • Language : English
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Summary:

This book is the first comprehensive account of the International Labour Organization’s 100-year history. At its heart is the concept of global social policy, which encompasses not only social policy in its national and international dimensions, but also development policy, world trade, international migration and human rights. The book focuses on the ILO’s roles as a key player in debates on poverty, social justice, wealth distribution and social mobility subjects and as a global forum for addressing these issues. The study puts in perspective the manifold ways in which the ILO has helped structure these debates and has made – through its standard-setting, technical cooperation and myriad other activities – practical contributions to the world of work and to global social policy.


A Brief History of the Future by Jacques Attali

A Brief History of the Future
  • Title : A Brief History of the Future
  • Author : Jacques Attali
  • Publisher : Skyhorse
  • ISBN Code : 1628721332
  • Pages : 312
  • Format : Pdf - ePub
  • Language : English
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Summary:

What will planet Earth be like in twenty years? At mid-century? In the year 2100? Prescient and convincing, this book is a must-read for anyone concerned about the future. Never has the world offered more promise for the future and been more fraught with dangers. Attali anticipates an unraveling of American hegemony as transnational corporations sever the ties linking free enterprise to democracy. World tensions will be primed for horrific warfare for resources and dominance. The ultimate question is: Will we leave our children and grandchildren a world that is not only viable but better, or in this nuclear world bequeath to them a planet that will be a living hell? Either way, he warns, the time to act is now.


First by Lucinda Acland,Katie Broomfield

First
  • Title : First
  • Author : Lucinda Acland,Katie Broomfield
  • Publisher : Scala Arts Publishers Incorporated
  • ISBN Code : 9781785512568
  • Pages : 160
  • Format : Pdf - ePub
  • Language : English
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Summary:

- Meet the amazing women who have made the legal profession their own- The first book to tell the story for a general audience- Published in partnership with the First 100 Years, the national campaign set up to celebrate the centenary of the 1919 Sex Disqualification (Removal) Act- The story is brought to life with photographs, archive material, boxed-out features, anecdotes and quotationsWhen Helena Normanton was admitted to Middle Temple on 24 December 1919, she became the first woman to enter this traditional male preserve, setting in train a series of firsts for women in law which continue today. The day before, the passing of the Sex Disqualification (Removal) Act had made it possible, for the first time, for women to enter the legal profession. Marking the centenary of the Act, First tells the story of women in law in their first 100 years of practice. From early campaigners through to the first women solicitors, barristers, magistrates and judges, the book tells the often untold stories of the pioneers, reformers and influencers who paved the way, revealing the barriers they faced, their challenges and triumphs. It offers a unique insight into how women have succeeded in a profession still dominated by men, and looks ahead to the prospects for women in law in the next 100 years.


The Future of War by George Friedman,Meredith Friedman

The Future of War
  • Title : The Future of War
  • Author : George Friedman,Meredith Friedman
  • Publisher :
  • ISBN Code : 9780756753726
  • Pages : 464
  • Format : Pdf - ePub
  • Language : English
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Summary:

The 21st century, even more than the 20th, will be the American century, & that America's global dominance will be associated with a revolution in weaponry & warfare as basic as the one that arose with the development of gunpowder 500 years ago. We are entering the age of Precision-Guided Munitions, the so-called smart weapons that will antiquate the traditional way of making war. These new projectiles are precise & lethally efficient, & they can devastate from any distance. The innovations in weapons tech'y. will affect America's defense strategies, reshaping our mil. forces, while confronting us with new strategic challenges as America enters the 21st century as the dominant world power.


Why The West Rules - For Now by Ian Morris

Why The West Rules - For Now
  • Title : Why The West Rules - For Now
  • Author : Ian Morris
  • Publisher : Profile Books
  • ISBN Code : 1847652948
  • Pages : 608
  • Format : Pdf - ePub
  • Language : English
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Summary:

Why did British boats shoot their way up the Yangzi in 1842, rather than Chinese ones up the Thames? Why do Easterners use English more than Europeans speak in Mandarin or Japanese? To put it bluntly, why does the West rule? There are two schools of thought: the 'Long-Term Lock In' theory, suggesting some sort of inevitability, and the 'Short-Term Accident' theory. But both approaches have misunderstood the shape of history. Ian Morris presents a startling new theory. He explains with flair and authority why the paths of development differed in the East and West and - analysing a vicious twist in trajectories just ahead of us - predicts when the West's lead will come to an end. 'Here you have three books wrapped into one: an exciting novel that happens to be true; an entertaining but thorough historical account of everything important that happened to any important people in the last 10 millennia; and an educated guess about what will happen in the future. Read, learn, and enjoy!' Jared Diamond 'A great work of synthesis and argument, drawing together an awesome range of materials and authorities to bring us a fresh, sharp reading of East-West relationships.' Andrew Marr


Activated Sludge - 100 Years and Counting by David Jenkins,Jiri Wanner

Activated Sludge - 100 Years and Counting
  • Title : Activated Sludge - 100 Years and Counting
  • Author : David Jenkins,Jiri Wanner
  • Publisher : IWA Publishing
  • ISBN Code : 178040493X
  • Pages : 464
  • Format : Pdf - ePub
  • Language : English
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Summary:

Activated Sludge - 100 Years and Counting covers the current status of all aspects of the activated sludge process and looks forward to its further development in the future. It celebrates 100 years of the Activated Sludge process, from the time that the early developers presented the seminal works that led to its eventual worldwide adoption. The book assembles contributions from renowned world leaders in activated sludge research, development, technology and application. The objective of the book is to summarise the knowledge of all aspects of the activated sludge process and to present and discuss anticipated future developments. The book comprises invited papers that were delivered at the conference "Activated Sludge...100 Years and Counting!", held in Essen, Germany, June 12th to 14th, 2014. Activated Sludge - 100 Years and Counting is of interest to researchers, engineers, designers, operations specialists, and governmental agencies from a wide range of disciplines associated with all aspects of the activated sludge process. Authors: David Jenkins, University of California at Berkeley, USA, Jiri Wanner, Institute of Chemical Technology, Prague, Czech Republic.


The Intelligence Edge by George Friedman

The Intelligence Edge
  • Title : The Intelligence Edge
  • Author : George Friedman
  • Publisher : Century
  • ISBN Code : 9780712679862
  • Pages : 276
  • Format : Pdf - ePub
  • Language : English
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Summary:

The ability to find and analyse information quickly and accurately can give a business an edge over its competitors. The authors show how to learn the skills that help transform widely accessible raw data into useful knowledge, by adapting techniques used by such organizations as the CIA.


Artificial Intelligence by Marco Antonio Aceves-Fernandez

Artificial Intelligence
  • Title : Artificial Intelligence
  • Author : Marco Antonio Aceves-Fernandez
  • Publisher : BoD – Books on Demand
  • ISBN Code : 178923364X
  • Pages : 464
  • Format : Pdf - ePub
  • Language : English
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Summary:

Artificial intelligence (AI) is taking an increasingly important role in our society. From cars, smartphones, airplanes, consumer applications, and even medical equipment, the impact of AI is changing the world around us. The ability of machines to demonstrate advanced cognitive skills in taking decisions, learn and perceive the environment, predict certain behavior, and process written or spoken languages, among other skills, makes this discipline of paramount importance in today's world. Although AI is changing the world for the better in many applications, it also comes with its challenges. This book encompasses many applications as well as new techniques, challenges, and opportunities in this fascinating area.


100 Years of the Nineteenth Amendment by Holly J. McCammon,Lee Ann Banaszak

100 Years of the Nineteenth Amendment
  • Title : 100 Years of the Nineteenth Amendment
  • Author : Holly J. McCammon,Lee Ann Banaszak
  • Publisher : Oxford University Press
  • ISBN Code : 0190265140
  • Pages : 400
  • Format : Pdf - ePub
  • Language : English
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Summary:

The year 2020 will mark the 100th anniversary of the Nineteenth Amendment giving many women in the United States the right to vote. The struggle for suffrage lasted over six decades and involved more than a million women; yet, even at the moment of the amendment's enactment, women's activists disagreed heartily over how much had been achieved, whether it was necessary for women to continue organizing for political rights, and what those political rights would bring. Looking forward to the 100-year anniversary of the passage of the Nineteenth Amendment, this collection of original essays takes a long view of the past century of women's political engagement to gauge how much women have achieved in the political arena. The volume looks back at the decades since women won the right to vote to analyze the changes, developments, and even continuities in women's roles in the broad political sphere. Ultimately, the book asks two important questions about the last 100 years of women's suffrage: 1) How did the Nineteenth Amendment alter the American political system? and 2) How has women's engagement in politics changed over the last 100 years? As the chapters reveal, while women have made substantial strides in the political realm--voting at higher rates than men and gaining prominent leadership roles--barriers to gender equality remain. Women continue to be underrepresented in political office and to confront gender bias in a myriad of political settings. The contributors also remind us of the important understanding to be gained from an intersectional perspective to women's political engagement. In particular, several chapters discuss the failure of the Nineteenth Amendment to provide full political rights and representation to African American, Latina, and poorer women. The work also considers women's extra-institutional activism in a wide variety of settings, including in the feminist, civil rights, environmental, and far-right movements. As the volume traces women's forceful presence and limitations in politics over the past century, it also helps us look forward to consider the next 100 years: what additional victories might be won and what new defeats will need women's response?


Climate Change Science by National Research Council,Division on Earth and Life Studies,Committee on the Science of Climate Change

Climate Change Science
  • Title : Climate Change Science
  • Author : National Research Council,Division on Earth and Life Studies,Committee on the Science of Climate Change
  • Publisher : National Academies Press
  • ISBN Code : 0309075742
  • Pages : 42
  • Format : Pdf - ePub
  • Language : English
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Summary:

The warming of the Earth has been the subject of intense debate and concern for many scientists, policy-makers, and citizens for at least the past decade. Climate Change Science: An Analysis of Some Key Questions, a new report by a committee of the National Research Council, characterizes the global warming trend over the last 100 years, and examines what may be in store for the 21st century and the extent to which warming may be attributable to human activity.


The Hundred-Year Marathon by Michael Pillsbury

The Hundred-Year Marathon
  • Title : The Hundred-Year Marathon
  • Author : Michael Pillsbury
  • Publisher : Henry Holt and Company
  • ISBN Code : 9781627790109
  • Pages : 336
  • Format : Pdf - ePub
  • Language : English
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Summary:

One of the U.S. government's leading China experts reveals the hidden strategy fueling that country's rise - and how Americans have been seduced into helping China overtake us as the world's leading superpower. For more than forty years, the United States has played an indispensable role helping the Chinese government build a booming economy, develop its scientific and military capabilities, and take its place on the world stage, in the belief that China's rise will bring us cooperation, diplomacy, and free trade. But what if the "China Dream" is to replace us, just as America replaced the British Empire, without firing a shot? Based on interviews with Chinese defectors and newly declassified, previously undisclosed national security documents, The Hundred-Year Marathon reveals China's secret strategy to supplant the United States as the world's dominant power, and to do so by 2049, the one-hundredth anniversary of the founding of the People's Republic. Michael Pillsbury, a fluent Mandarin speaker who has served in senior national security positions in the U.S. government since the days of Richard Nixon and Henry Kissinger, draws on his decades of contact with the "hawks" in China's military and intelligence agencies and translates their documents, speeches, and books to show how the teachings of traditional Chinese statecraft underpin their actions. He offers an inside look at how the Chinese really view America and its leaders - as barbarians who will be the architects of their own demise. Pillsbury also explains how the U.S. government has helped - sometimes unwittingly and sometimes deliberately - to make this "China Dream" come true, and he calls for the United States to implement a new, more competitive strategy toward China as it really is, and not as we might wish it to be. The Hundred-Year Marathon is a wake-up call as we face the greatest national security challenge of the twenty-first century.


Radiative Forcing of Climate Change by National Research Council,Division on Earth and Life Studies,Board on Atmospheric Sciences and Climate,Climate Research Committee,Committee on Radiative Forcing Effects on Climate

Radiative Forcing of Climate Change
  • Title : Radiative Forcing of Climate Change
  • Author : National Research Council,Division on Earth and Life Studies,Board on Atmospheric Sciences and Climate,Climate Research Committee,Committee on Radiative Forcing Effects on Climate
  • Publisher : National Academies Press
  • ISBN Code : 9780309133500
  • Pages : 222
  • Format : Pdf - ePub
  • Language : English
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Summary:

Changes in climate are driven by natural and human-induced perturbations of the Earth’s energy balance. These climate drivers or "forcings" include variations in greenhouse gases, aerosols, land use, and the amount of energy Earth receives from the Sun. Although climate throughout Earth’s history has varied from "snowball" conditions with global ice cover to "hothouse" conditions when glaciers all but disappeared, the climate over the past 10,000 years has been remarkably stable and favorable to human civilization. Increasing evidence points to a large human impact on global climate over the past century. The report reviews current knowledge of climate forcings and recommends critical research needed to improve understanding. Whereas emphasis to date has been on how these climate forcings affect global mean temperature, the report finds that regional variation and climate impacts other than temperature deserve increased attention.


Perspectives in Crystallography by John R. Helliwell

Perspectives in Crystallography
  • Title : Perspectives in Crystallography
  • Author : John R. Helliwell
  • Publisher : CRC Press
  • ISBN Code : 1498732119
  • Pages : 155
  • Format : Pdf - ePub
  • Language : English
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Summary:

Crystallography is one of the most multidisciplinary sciences, with roots in fields as varied as mathematics, physics, chemistry, biology, materials science, computation and earth and planetary science. The structural knowledge gained from crystallography has been instrumental in acquiring new levels of understanding in numerous scientific areas. Perspectives in Crystallography provides an overview of the current state of the field, reviews its historical origins and explains how crystallography contributes to the sustainability of life. This book resonates with the recent United Nations and UNESCO International Year of Crystallography, a celebration of its achievements and importance, undertaken with the International Union of Crystallography. The author of this book is the editor in chief of Crystallography Reviews, where some of the contents have been previously published. Here, subjects of interest to specialists and non-specialists have been brought together in a single source. The book opens with a description of the ways to explain crystallography to diverse general audiences. It also addresses various topics in crystallography, including: The evolution and importance of synchrotron radiation to crystallography The structural chemistry and biology of colouration in marine crustacea Predicting protonation states of proteins versus crystallographic experimentation The book then offers a projection of crystal structure analysis in the next 100 years and concludes by emphasizing the societal impacts of crystallography that allow for sustainability of life. Perspectives in Crystallography offers a threefold look into the past, present and long-term development and relevance of crystal structure analysis. It is concerned not only with the state of the field, but with its role in the perpetuation of life on earth. As such, it is a reference of vital interest to a broad range of analytical and practical sciences.


Deep Future by Curt Stager

Deep Future
  • Title : Deep Future
  • Author : Curt Stager
  • Publisher : Macmillan
  • ISBN Code : 1429990236
  • Pages : 304
  • Format : Pdf - ePub
  • Language : English
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Summary:

A Kirkus Reviews Best Nonfiction of 2011 title A bold, far-reaching look at how our actions will decide the planet's future for millennia to come. Imagine a planet where North American and Eurasian navies are squaring off over shipping lanes through an acidified, ice-free Arctic. Centuries later, their northern descendants retreat southward as the recovering sea freezes over again. And later still, future nations plan how to avert an approaching Ice Age... by burning what remains of our fossil fuels. These are just a few of the events that are likely to befall Earth and human civilization in the next 100,000 years. And it will be the choices we make in this century that will affect that future more than those of any previous generation. We are living at the dawn of the Age of Humans; the only question is how long that age will last. Few of us have yet asked, "What happens after global warming?" Drawing upon the latest, groundbreaking works of a handful of climate visionaries, Curt Stager's Deep Future helps us look beyond 2100 a.d. to the next hundred millennia of life on Earth.


The Sharing Knife Volume Two by Lois McMaster Bujold

The Sharing Knife Volume Two
  • Title : The Sharing Knife Volume Two
  • Author : Lois McMaster Bujold
  • Publisher : Harper Collins
  • ISBN Code : 0061798339
  • Pages : 368
  • Format : Pdf - ePub
  • Language : English
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Summary:

“A saga of daring deeds and unlikely romance.” —Library Journal One of the most respected writers in the field of speculative fiction, Lois McMaster Bujold has won numerous accolades and awards, including the Nebula and Locus Awards as well as the fantasy and science fiction genre’s most prestigious honor, the Hugo Award for Best Novel, four times (most recently for Paladin of Souls). With The Sharing Knife series, Bujold creates a brand new world fraught with peril, and spins an extraordinary romance between a young farm girl and the brave sorcerer-soldier entrusted with the defense of the land against a plague of vicious malevolent beings. Legacy continues the tale of Fawn Bluefield and Dag Redwing Hickory—the dangerous repercussions of their rebellious marriage and the strengthening of their love in the face of dark magic—as duty and disaster call the Lakewalker patroller away from his new bride and toward a peril that could forever alter the lovers and their world.


Know Your Chances by Steven Woloshin,Lisa M. Schwartz,H. Gilbert Welch

Know Your Chances
  • Title : Know Your Chances
  • Author : Steven Woloshin,Lisa M. Schwartz,H. Gilbert Welch
  • Publisher : Univ of California Press
  • ISBN Code : 0520252225
  • Pages : 142
  • Format : Pdf - ePub
  • Language : English
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Summary:

Understanding risk -- Putting risk in perspective -- Risk charts : a way to get perspective -- Judging the benefit of a health intervention -- Not all benefits are equal : understand the outcome -- Consider the downsides -- Do the benefits outweight the downsides? -- Beware of exaggerated importance -- Beware of exaggerated certainty -- Who's behind the numbers?